MARKET ANALYSIS AND FORECAST–2015
Revenues for LEDs in lighting applications, which includes both replacement lamps and luminaires, are expected to grow at a compound average growth rate of 15% through 2019. Lighting Applications have seen a variety different packages used over the last year including—COBs, arrays, high voltage LEDs, high CRI, tighter color bins, directional, multi-directional, etc.
HB-LEDs saw a precipitous fall in prices in 2013-2014 which helped reduce the price of LED lamps and luminaires. LEDs in Replacement Lamps will see the strongest growth as the LED lamp price continues to fall and more government bans and initiatives come into place which increase adoption. Commercial downlight and Outdoor LED luminaires will also see strong growth in LED revenue as adoption continues with more smart and controllable luminaires gaining traction.
Growth in emerging markets and the need for reduced energy use continue to be the strong drivers for LED adoption. While some applications such as the outdoor lighting, architectural, and commercial lighting have proven their viability, the price per lumen for LED lighting is the limiting factor.
This report analyzes the market for LEDs used in ten lighting application segments for the base year 2014 and offers a forecast through 2019.